The 91st annual Academy Awards are very nearly here—yes, without a host, but with some famous friends in tow—and everyone and their Lyft driver has an idea about who and what will go home with a trophy, come Sunday. There is usually a bit of mental gymnastics required for filling out the requisite Oscar office pools, as Michelle Ruiz noted in her analysis of likely winners and losers come Sunday—did the critical hit and audience-beloved A Star Is Born peak too early? If they're not going to do it in character, should Lady Gaga and Bradley Cooper just let Kelly Clarkson sing "Shallow" for them? Could the sort of problematic Green Book go the distance over Roma? (And if so, is that Netflix's fault?) Did people really like Bohemian Rhapsody, or do they just really like Queen? Is the Best Actor category kind of impossible this year? There's a lot to consider. And anyway, it wouldn’t be the Oscars without a few surprises and snubs thrown in to the mix—check out our predictions, along with the full list of nominees below, and follow along on the night for all of the fun, the fashion, and to see whether or not your picks made the cut, of course. Tune in—on February 24 on ABC at 8 p.m. ET, to be precise—to find out.
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Rockwell, Vice
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Amy Adams, Vice
Marina de Tavira, Roma
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
Bao
Late Afternoon
One Small Step
Weekends
Animal Behaviour
SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
Marguerite
Detainment
Fauve
Mother
Skin
MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
If Beale Street Could Talk
Black Panther
Mary Poppins Returns
Isle of Dogs
BlacKkKlansman
FILM EDITING
The Favourite
Green Book
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Vice
COSTUME DESIGN
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
The Favourite
Black Panther
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots
SOUND EDITING
First Man
Bohemian Rhapsody
Black Panther
A Quiet Place
Roma
SOUND MIXING
A Star Is Born
First Man
Black Panther
Roma
A Star Is Born
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Cold War
Never Look Away
Roma
Shoplifters
Capernaum
DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)
Black Sheep
End Game
Life Boat
A Night at the Garden
Period. End of Sentence.
DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)
Free Solo
RBG
Minding the Gap
Of Fathers and Sons
Hale County This Morning, This Evening
PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Favourite
Black Panther
Mary Poppins Returns
First Man
Roma
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Roma
The Favourite
Never Look Away
A Star Is Born
Cold War
VISUAL EFFECTS
Avengers: Infinity War
Christopher Robin
Ready Player One
First Man
Solo: A Star Wars Story
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Border
Vice
Mary Queen of Scots
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Incredibles 2
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Isle of Dogs
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Mirai
ORIGINAL SONG
“Shallow,” A Star Is Born
“All the Stars,” Black Panther
“I’ll Fight,” RBG
“The Place Where Lost Things Go,” Mary Poppins Returns
“When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings,” The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
BlacKkKlansman
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs
If Beale Street Could Talk
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
A Star Is Born
WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
The Favourite
Roma
Vice
Green Book
First Reformed
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
DIRECTING
Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Adam McKay, Vice
BEST PICTURE
A Star Is Born
BlacKkKlansman
Bohemian Rhapsody
Green Book
Roma
The Favourite
Black Panther
Vice